Archive for March 4, 2010

Mashable brings us some lovely juicy yearly growth of social networks figures (for the US, I may try later and get the relevant UK stats)…

The winner, as expected of course, is Facebook, who just keep piling on those numbers.  And on the face of it, Twitter’s had a great year too…

…but there is a continual whispering about Twitter, a nagging piece of gossip, a little tittle-tattle…

…it’s stopped growing.  Indeed, the stats show that unique users is falling, even…

But the thing is, the stats tell only half the story.

Again from Mashable, we learn that the figures don’t include any of the use via a third party twitter client; the likes of Hootsuite, Tweetdeck, Tweetie, Echofon…

…anything that actually makes the rich information on Twitter more malleable and usable for an increasing number of people.

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UPDATE

Vijay has pointed me to this, which is excellent… an actual estimation of the Twitter ecosystem, rather than just Twitter itself:

Read Fred Wilson’s great post on it, and see why the Twitter ecosystem may be 3x, 4x or even 5x bigger than Twitter itself…

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Personally, I visit the Twitter site very infrequently, as I find it impractical as an interface… something that offers you the chance to route different feeds into different columns and presents them as an overview is much more useful:

But as was touched on back in The Social Lego Principles things like Twitter only works when you start assembling the building blocks together in interesting ways; just looking at one tweet, or one account, is a bit dull, unmanageable and uninspiring.

Which is I guess what a lot of people have been initially turned off by, just staring at a torrent of information in one linear delivery.
If you’re one of those folk, think of it this way:  You’re an idea farmer.  Your twitter account, with tweets from all the people you follow, is like a huge flowing river passing through your farm.

Now, you can try and just grow all your idea crops around the banks of that one river.  But it’s not very efficient.

So, instead, why not try a little irrigation:

Using something like Hootsuite, spread out the flow into lots of little channels… base it on hashtags you’re interested in, words of interest, a certain set of people.

Split the flow out into manageable little rivers, so you know where to go for what.

Because Twitter’s just the water; the more efficiently you can channel it, then the better it’ll be at growing lots of ideas for you…

John V Willshire is Head of Innovation at PHD.  This post originally appeared on www.feedingthepuppy.com

(picture of Utility’s sign in Brighton… thanks to clever Matt for the clever title)
“…there’s a frood who really knows where his towel is“

…from Hitch-hiker’s Guide to the Galaxy by Douglas Adams

I’m becoming increasingly fascinated by location.

The location of not just people, but of things too (yes, like towels)…

…and of course of messages… the way people and things communicate with each other.

We’re living in a world where everything knows where it is (whatever it is, human or object) in relation to lots of other things.
So I thought it was worth expanding on why, including why it’s probably very important for marketing folks to be thinking about.
How things were

Some background; when I worked in the planning and insight function at Viacom Outdoor, location was very important for us.  We were the guys charged with coming up with (occasionally) clever thoughts on why and how advertisers could use Underground & Bus advertising to target the right sorts of people.

We used to refer a lot to ‘recency theory’, as developed by a chap called Erwin Ephron in the US, which basically stated that the most important message you can deliver is the last before someone chooses to do something.

You can see why it would appeal as a theory to folk selling outdoor ad space… six years ago most transactions were still happening on the high street, and as a way to influence decisions posters were a pretty good bet.

Of course, it’s classic advertising; push messaging, reach millions, affect thousands, and hang the wastage…
How things are

Nowadays, of course, we’re no longer buying stuff exclusively on the High Street.  In 2009, we spent nearly £50bn online (up 21% year of year).  Total retail sales were £287bn, so just under 20p of every pound we spend is online.  A fifth.

Which is enough, in combination with the recession, to make sad sights like this an everyday occurance… this is what you see if you visit the site of the former legendary shopping mecca that was the flagship Virgin Megastore on Oxford Street…

But still, there’s remains a fair chunk of money in people’s pockets to be had when they’re out and about, so the need for location targeting is still there, to guide people towards your front door…

…except…

…people aren’t alone when they’re out shopping any more. They’ve got their phone with them… and it’s not an ordinary phone anymore…

Smartphone penetration in the UK was at 15% in Q3 2009 (Nielsen).

Which is of course before we had the iPhone appearing on Orange & Vodafone, a fair few other smartphones appearing on the market, and the Christmas boost.

So it’s got to be around 20% now.  Again, a fifth.
And when you look at what they do with these phones, it’s clear that this may well be the ‘year of the mobile’… 10.4m people in Q3 2009 used their phone to access the internet.  Up from 8.8m in Q2.

That’s 21% of all mobile users… yep, a fifth, again.

(thanks to Fiona and Mat for the help with stats)
Let’s be honest; the awful browsing experience, combined with stupidly high data charges from the mobile operators, meant the ‘mobile web’ was largely unloved and unused for years.

That’s now significantly changed.

A fifth of people have the technology to access the web on the move, and a fifth of them are.

Yet I don’t think that’s the most important thing about the rise of the smartphone.  The interesting thing for me is that smartphones invariably come loaded with GPS… they know exactly where you are.
How things might be

Now, amongst those who have the potential to use location based services on their phone, take-up isn’t huge yet; 3.3m people used location based services in Q3 2009.

But it’s growing fast; there was a 7% increase between Q2 & Q3.

And this is in a country where location based services like Foursquare and Gowalla are still largely waiting for any companies to really engage with the platforms, as I talked about here.

Why would companies engage in services like this?

Well, because people will want them to, and reward the ones who do it well with their custom.

On a very simple retail level, there’s huge advantages for people in being able to hold a device in your hand that tells you about the shopping environment around you…
- find out about the discounts being offered, and even make yourself ‘known’ as a discount hunter and see if anyone wants to attract you with a short-term immediate discount in return for your custom

- check the stock lists of a store, so if you’re after something in particular, you know which shops have it, and at what price

- make personal shopper appointments – if there’s a personal shopped in a clothes store you really trust, you can find out if they’re working

- the map for the ‘fastest route around’ based on the shops you want to visit, where they are, and how big the queues there are currently (or have been in the past)

- find out where there’s a free table in coffee shops or restaurants, and reserve it for a small fee (payable instantly through the phone)

- set up impromptu ‘meeting points’ that you can send to other friends and family members

- remember where your car is in the huge, sprawling car park

…and of course, the possibilities go on and on.
I believe that there will be a location based service around the shopping experience that will cater for just about everyone eventually; young, old, techy or not.

Because at the heart of it, there’s something hugely useful in improving the shopping experience.
Of course, location based services in the shopping environment could simply drive
down prices, much as an insurance aggregation site does in that market (I talked about the notion of Perfect Competition earlier this year in this context).

The challenge for us in marketing is to create these things that continue to add value to the retail experience for people; it will be as much a part of the ‘brand experience’ as the store signage or the TV ad.
One day, there will be no excuse for anyone not knowing where their towel is.  Or how much it costs, or which shop it’s in, or how long it will take to get there…..

John V Willshire is Head of Innovation at PHD.  This post originally appeared on www.feedingthepuppy.com